Steven N. Durlauf

University of Chicago
Harris School of Public Policy
1307 E. 60th Street
Chicago, IL 60637

E-Mail: EmailAddress: hidden: you can email any NBER-related person as first underscore last at nber dot org
NBER Program Affiliations: ED , EFG
NBER Affiliation: Research Associate
Institutional Affiliation: University of Chicago

NBER Working Papers and Publications

July 2017Understanding the Great Gatsby Curve
with Ananth Seshadri
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, Martin Eichenbaum and Jonathan A. Parker, editors
September 2015Model Uncertainty and the Effect of Shall-Issue Right-to-Carry Laws on Crime
with Salvador Navarro, David A. Rivers: w21566

Published: Steven N. Durlauf & Salvador Navarro & David A. Rivers, 2016. "Model uncertainty and the effect of shall-issue right-to-carry laws on crime," European Economic Review, vol 81(), pages 32-67. citation courtesy of

July 2013Linear Social Interactions Models
with Lawrence E. Blume, William A. Brock, Rajshri Jayaraman: w19212

Published: Lawrence E. Blume & William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf & Rajshri Jayaraman, 2015. "Linear Social Interactions Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 123(2), pages 444 - 496. citation courtesy of

July 2010The Deterrent Effect of Imprisonment
with Daniel S. Nagin
in Controlling Crime: Strategies and Tradeoffs, Philip Cook, Jens Ludwig, Justin McCrary, editors
June 2009Adoption Curves and Social Interactions
with William A. Brock: w15065

Published: William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf, 2010. "Adoption Curves and Social Interactions," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 8(1), pages 232-251, 03. citation courtesy of

September 2008Design Limits and Dynamic Policy Analysis
with William A. Brock, Giacomo Rondina: w14357

Published: Brock, William A. & Durlauf, Steven N. & Rondina, Giacomo, 2013. "Design limits and dynamic policy analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2710-2728. citation courtesy of

November 2004Model Uncertainty and Policy Evaluation: Some Theory and Empirics
with William A. Brock, Kenneth D. West: w10916


May 2004Social Capital
with Marcel Fafchamps: w10485

Published: Durlauf, Steven N. & Fafchamps, Marcel, 2005. "Social Capital," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 26, pages 1639-1699 Elsevier.

Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy
with William A. Brock: w10495

Published: William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf, 2004. "Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 72(s1), pages 1-18, 09. citation courtesy of

October 2003Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments
with William A. Brock, Kenneth D. West: w10025

Published: Brock, William A., Steven N. Durlauf and Kenneth D. West. "Policy Evaluation In Uncertain Economic Environments," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2003, v2003(1), 235-322. citation courtesy of

March 2003Multinomial Choice with Social Interactions
with William A. Brock: t0288
December 2000Growth Economics and Reality
with William A. Brock: w8041
August 2000Interactions-Based Models
with William Brock: t0258
February 1998The New Empirics of Economic Growth
with Danny T. Quah: w6422

Published: Durlauf, Steven N. & Quah, Danny T., 1999. "The new empirics of economic growth," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 235-308 Elsevier.

September 1996Statistical Mechanics Approaches to Socioeconomic Behavior
October 1995Discrete Choice with Social Interactions I: Theory
with William A. Brock: w5291

Published: Brock, William A. and Steven N. Durlauf. "Discrete Choice With Social Interactions," Review of Economic Studies, 2001, v68(235,Apr), 235-260.

June 1994Interpreting Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis
with Andrew B. Bernard: t0159

Published: Bernard, Andrew B. and Steven N. Durlauf. "Interpreting Tests Of The Convergence Hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, 1996, v71(1&2,Mar/Apr), 161-173.

October 1993Measuring Noise in Inventory Models
with Louis J. Maccini: w4487

Published: Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 36, no. 1 (1995): 65-89. citation courtesy of

April 1992Spectral Based Testing of the Martingale Hypothesis

Published: Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 50, No. 3, pp. 355-376, (1991).

A Theory of Persistent Income Inequality

Published: Journal of Economics Growth, Vol. 1, no. 1 (March 1996): 75-93. citation courtesy of

February 1992Local Versus Global Convergence Across National Economies
with Paul A. Johnson: w3996
May 1991Convergence of International Output Movements
with Andrew B. Bernard: w3717

Published: Bernard, Andrew B. and Steven N. Durlauf. "Convergence In International Output," Jouranl of Applied Econometrics, 1995, v10(2), 97-108.

Path Dependence in Aggregate Output


Nonergodic Economic Growth

Published: Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 60, no. 203 (1993): 349-366. citation courtesy of

February 1991Multiple Equilibria and Persistence in Aggregate Fluctuations

Published: The American Economic Review, Vol. 81, No. 2, pp.70-74, (May 1991). citation courtesy of

May 1990Testing the Positive Theory of Government Finance
with David S. Bizer: w3349

Published: Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 123-141, July 1990. citation courtesy of

April 1989Bounds on the Variances of Specification Errors in Models with Expectations
with Robert E. Hall: w2936
March 1988Compositional Effects of Government Spending in a Two-Country Two-SectorProduction Model
with Robert W. Staiger: w2543

Published: Journal of International Economics 1989. citation courtesy of

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